CAPE CANAVERAL SPACE FORCE STATION — After topping more than 3% earlier in the day, the chances of Asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth dropped, according to NASA on Wednesday.

Earlier on Wednesday, the odds of impact are 3.1%, up from 1.3% two weeks ago, stated NASA.

However, on Wednesday afternoon, the chances dropped to 1.5%. 

The size of it is between 131 feet (40 meters) to 295 feet (90 meters) or a little less than the Statue of Liberty’s height. Experts are predicting that if it does hit the Earth, it will happen on Dec. 22, 2032.

According to Dr. Andy Rivkin of the NASA’s DART investigation team, an asteroid that size would cause significant damage if it crashed into a city.

“Depending on the exact size of 2024 YR4, whether it’s more like a single rock or more of a rubble pile like Dimorphos, and the angle of entry, the estimated damage could range from only broken windows throughout the area up to the collapse of wood-frame buildings for a radius of 10-15 km and broken windows out to 25 or so km. That would basically cover all of New York City and into parts of the nearby suburbs on Long Island, New Jersey, and up the Hudson Valley,” Rivkin said in a previous interview about Asteroid 2024 YR4.

Rivkin is the DART mission team co-lead at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory. The DART mission was to change the course of an asteroid, which it successfully did in 2022 when it crashed into Dimorphos.

The International Asteroid Warning Network stated that the near-Earth asteroid will still be visible through early April 2025, but then its orbit will take it away from the planet, making it too hard to see until June 2028.

The exact size of Asteroid 2024 YR4 cannot be determined until it comes within radar range in 2032.