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Unseasonably dry air will stick around for another day across Central Florida, under the influence of high pressure parked firmly overhead. The big weather headline will be the above-average temperatures with widespread readings in the mid-90s inland and heat index values between 100 and 105 degrees.
With ample sunshine and little afternoon cloud cover, some interior spots may hit the upper 90s briefly. The existing record for Orlando will likely hold for another year, which is 100 degrees last set in 1921. Both Daytona Beach and Melbourne may come within about 3 degrees of their existing records for this date. (Daytona Beach -- 97 degrees, set in 1938; Melbourne -- 96 degrees, set in 1993.)
This dry air mass will keep afternoon storms to a minimum; anything that forms will be very isolated. Thursday and Friday will offer similar conditions with fewer storms and hot temperatures in the mid-90s. Overnight readings will stay in the mid- to upper 70s area wide each night this week.
By this weekend, we’ll start to see a return to more seasonable conditions with rain chances on the rise during the afternoon hours. Typical summertime afternoon storms will resume in the forecast through the weekend at a 40 percent likelihood each day. Highs will return to more seasonal levels, too, in the low to mid-90s.
In the tropics, we remain focused on Invest 96L moving westward across the central Atlantic toward the Lesser Antilles. As environmental conditions improve over the next day or so, Invest 96L will likely become classified as a tropical cyclone and ultimately Tropical Storm or Hurricane Cristobal as it moves west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. Long-range models bring the system into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week, with an eventual landfall along the northern Gulf Coast states.
Tune in for your Tropical Updates at :21 & :51 minutes past each hour.
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