An area of low pressure located over the Yucatan Peninsula and an upper-level trough are producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms and winds to nearly gale force over portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Some development of this system is possible after it moves over the southwestern Gulf later Sunday and across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico through Tuesday.

Regardless of development, heavy rains should continue over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has been scheduled to investigate the low Sunday afternoon, if necessary.

The system has a 50 percent chance of forming into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, and 60 percent over the next 5 days.

The low currently on a track toward the cost of Texas, away from Florida.

If it does become a tropical storm, it would be named Bill, the second named storm of the year after Ana got this hurricane season off to an early start in May.

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