A new subtropical depression is now getting better organized about 95 miles south of Bermuda, marking the seventh Atlantic cyclone of a particularly quiet 2014 Hurricane Season.
Subtropical Depression Seven is now a subtropical storm — one with a name very familiar to Central Floridians — Fay.
Unlike the last storm named Fay, which caused severe flooding in Central Florida in 2008, this system is posing no threat to Florida or anywhere to the U.S. East Coast.
Bermuda, however, has been put under a tropical storm warning.
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory
11 p.m. — Fay moving northwestward toward Bermuda.
Watches and Warnings
Changes with this advisory: None.
A Hurricane Watch, and Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
*Bermuda
A Hurrican Watch means hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area; in this case within 12 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
At 11 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 30.9 north, longitude 65.0 west. Fay is moving toward the north near 17 mph. A gradual increase in forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast with a further increase in forward speed on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Fay is expected to pass just to the southeast of Bermuda early Sunday morning. However, only a slight deviation to the west of the forecast track would bring the core of strongest winds over Bermuda.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph, with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. Fay is expected to be absorbed by a cold front on Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles from the center. During the past couple of hours, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration buoy located about 160 miles east-southeast of the center of Fay reported a sustained wind of 40 mph and gusts to 45 mph.
The minimum central pressure recently measured by a buoy near the center of Fay was 989 mb, or 29.21 inches.
Hazards affecting land
Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by this evening.
Rainfall: Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 inches to 4 inches across Bermuda.
Surf: Large swells generated by Fay will affect portions of the south-facing shores of Bermuda today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Next advisory
Complete advisory: 11 p.m.